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I'll even take this a step further and perdict winners in all the main categories as well as nominations. As much as I'd like to see Sin City clean up, I think it's gonna be the gay cowboy movie that wins big this year. I don't see Sin City getting nominated for anything major at all, and only marginally for a handful of the smaller tech categories.
Best Picture-
Brokeback Mountain
Walk the Line
King Kong
Good Night, and Good Luck
Munich
Best Director-
Woody Allen (Match Point)
Steven Spielberg (Munich)
Peter Jackson (King Kong)
Ang Lee (Brokeback Mountain)
George Clooney (Good Night, and Good Luck)
Best Actor-
Phillip Seymour Hoffman (Capote)
Heath Ledger (Brokeback Mountain)
Joaquin Phoenix (Walk the Line)
David Strathairn (Good Night, and Good Luck)
*Russell Crowe (Cinderella Man)
*Terence Howard (Hustle and Flow)
*One of those two will make the cut and one won't.
Best Actress-
Felicity Huffman (Transamerica)
Charlize Theron (North Country)
Reese Witherspoon (Walk the Line)
Keira Knightley (Pride and Predjudice)
Judi dench (Mrs. Henderson Presents...)
Supporting Actor-
Paul Giammati (Cinderella Man)
George Clooney (Syriana)
Matt Dillon (Crash)
Jake Gyllenhall (Brokeback Mountain)
Bob Hoskins (Mrs. Henderson Presents...)
Supporting Actress-
Maria Bello (A History of Violence)
Scarlett Johanson (Match Point)
Rachel Wiesz (The Constant Gardner)
Diane Keaton (The Family Stone)
Michelle Williams (Brokeback Mountain)
Original Screenplay-
The Squid and the Whale
Crash
Match Point
Syriana
Good Night, and Good Luck
Adapted Screenplay-
Capote
Munich
Brokeback Mountain
Walk the Line
Memoirs of a Geisha
FX-
Chronicles of Narnia
Star Wars Episode 3
Harry Potter & Goblet of Fire
King Kong
War of the Worlds
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